Early Look at Assembly Election, Presidential Election

People Power Party is in a hole, while Lee Jae-myung leads the polls for the favored next president.

Early Look at Assembly Election, Presidential Election

Photo: The National Assembly.  Credit: National Assembly.

The 2024 Assembly Election 총선 is now ten months away. Although support for two parties was roughly equal, 49% of respondents said they agreed with the statement, “More opposition party candidates should be elected to check the government,” while 37% agreed that “More ruling party candidates should be elected to support the government.”

In a similar poll a week before the last Assembly Election in 2020, 49% said they supported the ruling party candidates and 39% said they supported the opposition, leading to a historic supermajority victory for the Democratic Party 민주당 and then-president Moon Jae-in 문재인.

The same poll also asked about preferences for the next president, allowing respondents to provide a name rather than selecting from a pre-set list. Former presidential candidate and current Democratic Party chairman Lee Jae-myung 이재명 led the overall field at 22%. Lee virtually stood alone among liberals, as other center-left candidates such as former prime minister Lee Nak-yeon 이낙연 (2%), Gyeonggi-do Province governor Kim Dong-yeon 김동연 경기도지사 (1%) and Assembly Member Lee Tan-hee 이탄희 (1%) received only marginal support.

Among conservatives, Justice Minister Han Dong-hun 한동훈 법무부장관 led with 11%, followed by Daegu mayor Hong Jun-pyo 홍준표 대구 시장 (5%), Seoul mayor O Se-hun 오세훈 서울 시장 (4%), and former presidential candidate An Cheol-su 안철수 (2%). Other conservatives who cracked 1% included former presidential candidate Yu Seung-min 유승민 and former People Power Party chairman Lee Jun-seok 이준석. Reflecting the distance to the next presidential election in 2027, 46% of respondents said they did not yet have a preferred candidate.

Share Tweet Send
You've successfully subscribed to The Blue Roof
Great! Next, complete checkout for full access to The Blue Roof
Welcome back! You've successfully signed in
Success! Your account is fully activated, you now have access to all content.